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Groundhog Day Data

Analyze a bar graph of Groundhog Day predictions.

By Jess McKenna-Ratjen
From the February 2026 Issue
Other Focus Areas: Weather & Climate

Standards

Every February 2, people across the U.S. watch a groundhog exit its burrow. The idea is that if it sees its shadow, there will be six more weeks of winter. If it doesn’t, spring will come early! But how accurate is this tradition? The bar graph below shows the accuracy of the nation’s most popular groundhogs.

SOURCE: NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

 Scale:
 Set of numbers showing the data counted, starting at zero

Title:
Tells what the graph is about

Bar:
The total amount in a category

X-Axis label:
Describes the categories of data

Y-Axis label:
Tells what is being counted

Do you think observing groundhogs is a good way to predict when spring will arrive? Use data from the graph to support your answer.

What Is a Groundhog?
Watch a video to learn more about these chunky animals.
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